Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.040189 0.043821 0.047499 0.051496 0.055712 0.060018 0.064744
2025-08-03 0.035109 0.040502 0.046160 0.052515 0.059427 0.066693 0.074884
2025-08-10 0.029242 0.035628 0.042559 0.050581 0.059551 0.069217 0.080365
2025-08-17 0.025448 0.032591 0.040581 0.050073 0.060940 0.072892 0.086933
2025-08-24 0.022344 0.030006 0.038823 0.049552 0.062093 0.076136 0.092896
2025-08-31 0.020833 0.029123 0.038889 0.051006 0.065408 0.081761 0.101518
2025-09-07 0.019326 0.028088 0.038645 0.051987 0.068087 0.086604 0.109221
2025-09-14 0.017850 0.026956 0.038171 0.052592 0.070247 0.090792 0.116139
2025-09-21 0.016350 0.025667 0.037396 0.052738 0.071783 0.094194 0.122105
2025-09-28 0.015578 0.025265 0.037686 0.054160 0.074840 0.099394 0.130202
2025-10-05 0.014025 0.023695 0.036377 0.053483 0.075246 0.101360 0.134414
2025-10-12 0.012936 0.022683 0.035728 0.053587 0.076576 0.104413 0.139912
2025-10-19 0.012163 0.022092 0.035633 0.054429 0.078880 0.108731 0.147052
2025-10-26 0.011604 0.021772 0.035881 0.055709 0.081746 0.113764 0.155106
2025-11-02 0.010031 0.019825 0.033793 0.053801 0.080454 0.113589 0.156748
2025-11-09 0.009056 0.018715 0.032809 0.053320 0.080965 0.115634 0.161109
2025-11-16 0.008160 0.017653 0.031835 0.052799 0.081382 0.117534 0.165273
2025-11-23 0.007905 0.017617 0.032342 0.054327 0.084513 0.122895 0.173787
2025-11-30 0.007536 0.017360 0.032502 0.055354 0.086975 0.127409 0.181258
2025-12-07 0.007093 0.016943 0.032396 0.055988 0.088899 0.131233 0.187872
2025-12-14 0.006567 0.016337 0.031972 0.056141 0.090157 0.134190 0.193392
2025-12-21 0.006386 0.016335 0.032471 0.057624 0.093232 0.139519 0.201952
2025-12-28 0.005734 0.015415 0.031490 0.056918 0.093278 0.140882 0.205443